Communications of the ACM
AI Can't Take Over Everyone's Jobs Soon (If Ever)
OpenAI has touted GPT-4’s ability to pass numerous standardized tests—but did the model genuinely understand the tests, or simply train to reproduce the correct answers?
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"Should we automate away all the jobs, including the fulfilling ones?"
This is one of several questions posed by the Future of Life Institute's recent call for a pause on "giant AI experiments," which now has over 10,000 signatories including Elon Musk, Steve Wozniak, and Andrew Yang. It sounds dire—although maybe laced through with a little bit of hype—and yet how, exactly, would AI be used to automate all jobs? Setting aside whether that's even desirable—is it even possible?
"I think the real barrier is that the emergence of generalized AI capabilities as we've seen from OpenAI and Google Bard is that similar to the early days when the Internet became generally available, or cloud infrastructure as a service became available," says Douglas Kim, a fellow at the MIT Connection Science Institute. "It is not yet ready for general use by hundreds of millions of workers as being suggested."
From IEEE Spectrum
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