Communications of the ACM
World War 3.0: 10 Critical Trends For Cybersecurity
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"Cybersecurity is the soft underbelly of this country," outgoing U.S. National Intelligence Director Mike McConnell declared in a valedictory address to reporters in mid-January. McConnell does not worry so much that hackers or spies will steal classified information from computers owned by government or the military. He is afraid they will erase it and thereby deprive the United States of critical data. "It could have a debilitating effect on the country," he said.
With this concern in mind, Forecasting International undertook a study of factors likely to influence the future development of information warfare, and rated the following as the 10 most significant trends that will shape the future of information warfare.
- Technology Increasingly Dominates Both the Economy and Society
- Advanced Communications Technologies Are Changing the Way We Work and Live
- The Global Economy Is Growing More Integrated
- Research and Development Play a Growing Role in the World Economy
- The Pace of Technological Change Accelerates with Each New Generation of Discoveries and Applications
- The United States Is Ceding Its Scientific and Technical Leadership to Other Countries
- Technology Is Creating a Knowledge-Dependent Global Society
- Militant Islam Continues to Spread and Gain Power
- International Exposure Includes A Growing Risk of Terrorist Attack
- The World's Population Will Grow To 9.2 Billion by 2050
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